Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.327035 0.388141 0.456415 0.538195 0.633325 0.740325 0.869627
2025-01-26 0.244567 0.325771 0.426278 0.559130 0.729348 0.939275 1.216842
2025-02-02 0.214504 0.310467 0.438238 0.619255 0.867273 1.193058 1.650862
2025-02-09 0.182903 0.284051 0.427266 0.642245 0.953554 1.384091 2.019684
2025-02-16 0.151544 0.250903 0.399618 0.634710 0.992270 1.509688 2.307145
2025-02-23 0.124187 0.218280 0.366568 0.612442 1.003561 1.593286 2.538152
2025-03-02 0.101474 0.188784 0.333256 0.583762 0.999242 1.649953 2.730379
2025-03-09 0.091797 0.179448 0.330739 0.603372 1.071990 1.830002 3.127106
2025-03-16 0.077231 0.158879 0.306048 0.581878 1.073458 1.894892 3.343652
2025-03-23 0.070034 0.150744 0.301898 0.595131 1.134485 2.061545 3.739845
2025-03-30 0.063481 0.142746 0.296759 0.605555 1.190849 2.224108 4.141286
2025-04-06 0.055651 0.130841 0.282489 0.596826 1.210849 2.324132 4.440998
2025-04-13 0.049041 0.120747 0.271039 0.593376 1.242676 2.452239 4.809833
2025-04-20 0.045685 0.117327 0.272836 0.616818 1.329159 2.688761 5.398035
2025-04-27 0.046167 0.122805 0.294059 0.682647 1.505877 3.108665 6.360687
2025-05-04 0.043257 0.119678 0.296067 0.707799 1.602275 3.382321 7.066278
2025-05-11 0.038314 0.110634 0.283514 0.699557 1.628116 3.519726 7.518066
2025-05-18 0.033013 0.099664 0.264885 0.675193 1.616643 3.580870 7.822827
2025-05-25 0.028054 0.088627 0.244422 0.643804 1.586034 3.599457 8.041814
2025-06-01 0.026457 0.086662 0.246115 0.665267 1.676024 3.876750 8.814359
2025-06-08 0.022892 0.078302 0.230254 0.641742 1.659965 3.926313 9.111876
2025-06-15 0.021403 0.075879 0.229622 0.656248 1.734443 4.177716 9.857877
2025-06-22 0.019918 0.073186 0.227880 0.667656 1.802487 4.419915 10.600892